Vitalik cross-posting with @fireflyapp is the signal you needed to start using Fireflyhttps://firefly.social/i/37x9tGPRccUD
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Invest $69.99. Get a $50K FundedNext Flex account.Iβm a FundedNext partner. No daily loss limit, EOD drawdown, and no consistency rule after you pass. 95% reward share.Use code: WENMOON
What is ARC CHAIN ?
Post wherever you want, or everywhere at once.Then trade perps from the same app.GM sent β
TP set. SL set. β
Back to the timeline.All on @fireflyapp
I wrote a thesis on what I think the Fed will do this week.My call: +0.25% on Wednesday.I put $20 behind the prediction directly through @fireflyapp One day later: +10%.Now we wait on Warsh and the Fed... start of a new hiking cycle, or one and pause? Tomorrow: 88% odds of a 0.25% hike.Research β Prediction β TradeAll from the same app.
I think the Fed hikes 0.25% on Wednesday.The jobs report was stronger than expected. The U.S. added 162,000 jobs in August. Most people thought it would be around 56,000. Unemployment stayed at 4.1%. Wages still rose.βMore jobsβ sounds like only good news. For the Fed, it is a problem. They hold rates when the job market is breaking. This one is not breaking. If companies are still hiring, they canβt say they need to wait to protect workers. That leaves inflation.Then prices. August living costs rose 0.4% in one month and 3.4% from a year ago. Even without food and gas, prices rose 0.3% in the month. The Fedβs preferred inflation gauge was still 3.7% in July. Their goal is 2%. They are not there.People are still getting hired. Prices are still too high. Three Fed officials already wanted a hike last meeting. I donβt think they sit still this week.Call: +0.25bps
Higher inflation + resilient employment + elevated oil prices = Fed hike next week.Polymarket just repriced a 25bps increase from 60% last night to 83% after the CPI print.You can trade that market directly on @fireflyapp , discover the odds, size the position, and execute without leaving the app.
I'm starting to feel fomo. I keep thinking if the bull market is back?
Is everyody feeling the same?
What a great trading day! πAs you guys know I trade Nasdaq during the New York session.I usually trade futures with prop firms such as Lucid, Apex and also with my own capital, but today I started trading with a new platform that caught my attention: Firefly.Why?I can deposit crypto, trade Nasdaq with leverage, and withdraw my profits in crypto, without having to rely on bank transfers that can take days to process. I love the freedom and speed that crypto gives you.So, how did today go?At market open, I caught some longs using my strategy, and later I managed to catch the shorts as well.Ended the day positive across all my accounts, including my new Firefly trading account.A few days ago, @fireflyapp added Perps, so you can now trade a variety of assets with leverage, including crypto, indices, commodities and stocks.Definitely looking forward to trading more on Firefly and seeing how it goes.
Perpetuals on Firefly πShould I go long or short BTC or ETH?